An Evaluation Method of the Capacity of Emergency Response of Freeway System
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摘要: 高速公路应急救援能力是影响高速公路行车安全和高速公路服务水平的重要因素之一。以高速公路应急救援能力评价系统建设为目标,根据评价指标选取的原则,确定了21个评价指标,构建了高速公路应急救援能力评价指标体系。邀请10位专家,运用层次分析法,构造了评价指标重要程度的判断矩阵,对判断矩阵进行了一致性检验,计算并确定了各个评价指标的权重。运用模糊综合评价的建模方法,构建了高速公路应急救援能力评价的计算模型,确定了综合隶属度和综合评分的计算方法。以我国某段高速公路为例,对其应急救援能力进行了评价,并对评价结果进行分析。结果证实了文中所建立的评价指标体系及其权值的有效性。这一指标体系及其权值客观反映了该高速公路的实际救援能力水平,为应急救援能力的提升起到了促进作用,操作性强。Abstract: Emergency response is one of the key factors to affect traffic safety and service level of freeway systems . An evaluation method of the capacity of emergency response provides a scientific basis for building such capacity .This pa-per develops an evaluation system consisting of 21 evaluation indicators .Ten experts are invited to develop a judgment matrix which ranks the importance of these indicators through Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) .Then ,a consistency test is carried out for the judgment matrix and the weight of each evaluation indicator is calculated and determined .The computational model for ranking the capacity of freeway emergency response is then developed by using a fuzzy evaluation method .The membership and ranking score are then calculated through the model .A section of highway freeway in China is tested as an example .Study results show the validity of the evaluation indicators and their weight .It is found that the indicator set and corresponding weights used can reflect the actual capacity of freeway emergency response and it is easy to use as w ell .
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