Volume 39 Issue 3
Jun.  2021
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Article Navigation >  Journal of Transport Information and Safety  > 2021  >  39(3): 17-24
HU Song, WENG Jiancheng, LIN Pengfei, ZHOU Wei, JING Yunqi. Impacts of Major Epidemic on Passengers' Dependence on Public Transport[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2021, 39(3): 17-24. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2021.03.003
Citation: HU Song, WENG Jiancheng, LIN Pengfei, ZHOU Wei, JING Yunqi. Impacts of Major Epidemic on Passengers' Dependence on Public Transport[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2021, 39(3): 17-24. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2021.03.003
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Impacts of Major Epidemic on Passengers' Dependence on Public Transport

doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2021.03.003
  • 1.

    Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China

  • 2.

    Ministry of Transport of People's Republic of China, Beijing 100736, China

  • Received Date: 2020-01-25
    Abstract
  • Exploring the impacts of major epidemics on passengers' behaviors and dependence on public transportation can improve the quality of public transportation(PT)services and the balance between supply and demand.Based on the prospect theory and the theory of planned behavior(TPB), the work proposes the SP/RP travel survey scheme in the period of a major epidemic.Three indicators are selected from the dimension of travel behaviors, and a k-means algorithm is used to identify the PT passenger categories.The internal and external impact indicators of PT dependence are screened from seven levels.Then, a structural equation model is utilized to construct the model of major-epidemic impacts on passengers' PT dependence.The results show that the latent variables of individual attributes, travel environment, and travel characteristics indirectly affect passengers' PT dependence by changing individual psychological factors, which reflects the joint effect of subjective and objective factors on passengers' PT dependence.The positive intensity of travel intention on PT dependence under a major epidemic is 0.36, which is lower than that of 0.51 under normal conditions.The positive effect of the travel environment is strong, while the effect of individual attributes is relatively low and negatively correlated with PT attitude and subjective norms.Besides, bicycle availability, route risk, and travel intensity hardly affect passengers' PT dependence.The acquaintance of prevention and control policies, subjective normative variables, and travel preference on PT have significant effects, reflecting that the social promotion effect and the fuzzy effect of consumer psychology are more obvious in the PT market in the major epidemic period.

     

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