Volume 41 Issue 4
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LU Fei, ZHAO Erli, LIANG Xianyun. A Study on Longitudinal Collision Risk of Airplanes during Paired Approach Under the Influence of Positioning Error[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(4): 24-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.04.003
Citation: LU Fei, ZHAO Erli, LIANG Xianyun. A Study on Longitudinal Collision Risk of Airplanes during Paired Approach Under the Influence of Positioning Error[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2023, 41(4): 24-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.04.003
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A Study on Longitudinal Collision Risk of Airplanes during Paired Approach Under the Influence of Positioning Error

doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.04.003

  • College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China

  • Received Date: 2023-05-17
    Available Online: 2023-11-23
    Abstract
  • Studying longitudinal collision risk of paired approach on closely spaced parallel runways (CSPRs) is crucial for assessing its safety, where positioning errors directly influence the longitudinal collision risk during the process. Given the lack of consideration on actual data fitting for positioning error distribution in previous studies, this study aims investigate the longitudinal collision risk during paired approach under the influence of actual data-fitted positioning error. According to the implementation process of paired approach, a kinematic model for the longitudinal spacing between aircrafts before and after pairing is established. In terms of positioning error during flight, statistical data of actual aircraft positioning errors are utilized to fit the distribution. Next, utilizing Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) data, the longitudinal positioning error during the final approach phase is analyzed and fitted to identify the best-fitting distribution, that is, normal distribution. The collision risk between the aircraft fuselages in paired approach and the collision risk between the wake turbulence of lead aircraft and the fuselage of trailing aircraft are studied separately, and integral intervals for each collision risk model are determined. Based on the normal distribution and the movements of the paired aircrafts during paired approach, an assessment model for the longitudinal collision risk is established. Finally, data about the B737-800 aircraft at Shanghai Hongqiao Airport in December 2020 are collected for a case study. Simulations are conducted to analyze the changes in collision risk of fuselage Px1 and collision risk of wake turbulence Px2 over time under the initial longitudinal separations of 926 m and 2 778 m. Further, the relationship between different initial longitudinal separations and Px1 / Px2 or the maximum value of overall longitudinal collision risk. The results indicate that: ①when the initial longitudinal separation is 926 m, Px1 gradually decreases while Px2 increases over time, and Px1 is significantly greater than Px2. ②When the initial longitudinal separation is 2 778 m, the results are the opposite. ③ Px1 decreases while Px2 increases as the initial longitudinal separation increases. ④The overall longitudinal collision risk between the lead and trailing aircrafts decreases first and then increases with increasing initial longitudinal separation; ⑤when the initial longitudinal separation is smaller than 2 136 m, the longitudinal collision risk is primarily determined by the collision risk between the fuselages of lead and trailing aircrafts; when the initial longitudinal separation is larger than 2 136 m, it is determined by the collision risk between the wake turbulence of lead aircraft and the fuselage of trailing aircraft.

     

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